Price by averaging
Risk-neutral pricing says a European option is worth its discounted expected payoff under : . Under the stock is lognormal, so one draw of gives a terminal price
Monte Carlo pricing draws independent values of , computes the payoff on each, and averages:
The law of large numbers makes converge to . Take , , , , a call whose Black-Scholes price is 10.45. The draw gives and a discounted payoff of . The draw gives , and the call pays nothing. Those two paths average to 12.30, a poor estimate, but a million paths land within a few cents of 10.45.
A European payoff only needs , so each path is one normal draw. A path-dependent payoff (Asian, barrier) needs the whole path, built step by step with the same formula over each .