Two sums, two answers
In ordinary calculus, , and it makes no difference where in each strip you evaluate . Left endpoints, right endpoints and midpoints all converge to the same area. So the natural guess for Brownian motion is .
To test this, chop into steps , write , and build two sums:
Simulate 20,000 paths on with steps. The left sums average about and the right sums average about . On a single path that ends at , the left sum lands near and the right sum near . The guess sits halfway between them.
A finer grid does not close the gap. The two sums differ by
which is the quadratic variation from the earlier lesson. For a smooth path that sum shrinks to zero, which is why the choice of point never mattered in ordinary calculus. For Brownian motion it converges to , so the two answers stay a distance apart however small the steps get.