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Problem 238 of 333HardStatisticsP238
Is this spread really mean-reverting?
You regress a daily pairs spread on its own lag (with an intercept) over days and get with standard error . A colleague says: "The t-statistic for is , below , so we reject the random walk at 5% and the spread mean-reverts with a half-life of about 23 days." What is wrong with this argument?
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