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Problem 323 of 333EasyStochastic CalculusP323
How precise is realized volatility?
A stock's log price is modeled as with and a year. You estimate from one year of data with the realized variance
over equal steps.
(a) Take first. Find and the standard deviation of for daily data, . Roughly how many volatility points of error does that give for ?
(b) How many steps do you need for the relative standard error of to be 1%? About how many 5-minute bars per trading day is that?
(c) Now put the drift back. How much does it bias at ? Can more frequent sampling pin down as well?
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