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Problem 324 of 333MediumStochastic CalculusP324
Did it touch the level on a day it closed flat?
Model a stock's intraday log return, measured from the open, as for (one trading day), with daily volatility .
(a) Before the day starts, what is the probability that the log return reaches at some point during the day?
(b) After the close you learn that the stock finished exactly unchanged. Given that, what is the probability that the log return reached at some point?
(c) Same question if the log return at the close was .
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